Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.305796 0.411585 0.528571 0.665284 0.818661 0.983698 1.173079
2025-04-27 0.178088 0.317568 0.491389 0.712563 0.977369 1.276933 1.634914
2025-05-04 0.129359 0.285999 0.497899 0.781424 1.132824 1.540258 2.036372
2025-05-11 0.087727 0.249490 0.488238 0.823180 1.251079 1.757507 2.383560
2025-05-18 0.051909 0.206591 0.459617 0.832511 1.323098 1.914884 2.656479
2025-05-25 0.018960 0.146794 0.393586 0.782483 1.313318 1.968394 2.802325
2025-06-01 0.002837 0.098085 0.331599 0.728672 1.291649 2.002020 2.919898
2025-06-08 NaN 0.069555 0.295388 0.706392 1.307377 2.078872 3.086938
2025-06-15 NaN 0.056777 0.285868 0.722694 1.374127 2.219296 3.331102
2025-06-22 NaN 0.040532 0.262778 0.714260 1.404572 2.311948 3.515371
2025-06-29 NaN 0.025609 0.235019 0.694347 1.416445 2.379002 3.666636
2025-07-06 NaN 0.022710 0.240048 0.730349 1.508545 2.550772 3.948957
2025-07-13 NaN 0.019659 0.245009 0.769230 1.609700 2.740862 4.262835
2025-07-20 NaN 0.017865 0.254010 0.816141 1.724036 2.950258 4.603614
2025-07-27 NaN 0.019986 0.278336 0.891152 1.879805 3.214390 5.013282
2025-08-03 NaN 0.018062 0.286060 0.935546 1.990397 3.418892 5.348024
2025-08-10 NaN 0.012612 0.275817 0.945614 2.049512 3.554755 5.595818
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003896 0.234269 0.892036 2.010887 3.558648 5.675025
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000171 0.193996 0.834317 1.962210 3.546479 5.731707
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.171990 0.810374 1.963380 3.600079 5.870983
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.169170 0.827894 2.029750 3.742918 6.125417
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.155375 0.818832 2.052935 3.825852 6.302046
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.137488 0.797422 2.054937 3.878711 6.439094